210 posts categorized as "Commentary/Video"
The Cboe Volatility Index® (herein “VIX®” or “VIX® Index”) has become something of a household name. Known sometimes as the “Fear Gauge”, the VIX tracks market participants’ expectations for future S&P 500 Index volatility. In other words, the VIX provides information about the prospect for fluctuations (up or down) in equity markets. When the VIX…
TO DOWNLOAD A PRINTABLE VERSION (CLICK HERE) Many of our clients are concerned about a rise in inflation. This note takes a hard look at various supposed inflation hedges. We will look at stocks, bonds, REITs, gold, commodities, T-bills and TIPS: the answer may surprise you. I don’t see one size fits all answers to…
Astor CIO John Eckstein and Research Associate Nick Porter break down the latest price measures and the Fed’s options for addressing high inflation.
The month of October brought plenty of exciting macroeconomic data to discuss. Despite the fervor around the recent inflation print (which we’ll delve into below), our reading of the U.S. economy is still quite strong. The Astor Economic Index has ticked down slightly from the middle of the year but remains at an above average…
Astor Weekly Economic Review – 84 – CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO, John Eckstein, break down Friday’s payroll number and how it will affect the Fed’s new plan for ending quantitative easing
1) Strong Jobs Report 2) Current State of Economy 3) Fed Ending Quantitative Easing
1) Inflation #’s 2) Causes for Inflation 3) Possible Solutions for Inflation 4) Recent Academic Thinking around Inflation
The Astor Economic Index moderated slightly in September after several months of steading readings, perhaps suggesting the peak of output growth during the post-pandemic boom is behind us. Nonetheless, the AEI remains consistent with a strong economic state: we delve into some of the numbers below. Part of the story behind the AEI’s…
Astor Weekly Economic Review – 82 – CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO, John Eckstein, Break Down the Weak Employment Report
Topics Discussed: Labor Market Rate of Improvement is Slowing Divergence between Labor Market Surveys New Labor Market Trend ? Fed Tapering Jobless Claims PMI, CPI, and PCE Reports
2021 has seen equity and fixed income valuations very rich by traditional standards. As demand roars back and supply chains remain constrained, commodities have increasingly been in the limelight as an alternative source of return. Indeed, many commodities have enjoyed a spectacular rise in price throughout 2021 which creates a question of whether there is…
The Astor Economic Index ended the month of August essentially unchanged from the last several months, a level consistent with strong economic growth domestically, despite headwinds from the Delta variant. We discuss labor market developments below and delve into some of the dynamics surrounding the current inflation debate. Non-farm payrolls disappointed strongly to the downside…
Astor Chief Investment Officer John Eckstein and Nick Porter wade into the numbers of the economic rebound and the pace to return to pre-pandemic levels. The road back seems to be a long one, but they explore where encouraging signs can be found. AIM-8/19/21-OP442
The month of July saw further signs of a durable expansion across sectors in the United States, and encouragingly, continued improvement in the labor market. Our nowcast of the U.S. economy, the Astor Economic Index®, followed in kind, resuming its climb from the beginning of the year and at its highest level since January 2019….
As the millennial generation starts to turn 40, Astor CEO Rob Stein discusses the ramifications with Angela Miles on Business First AM. Will they be able to retire early? Will they need to work well past the age of 65? Rob shares his insights on what it means for the markets and the long term….
This week Astor CIO John Eckstein and Nick Porter translate the latest numbers and how they are impacting the American economy’s comeback from the COVID-19 pandemic’s setbacks. The real question: Why isn’t the rebound as robust as hoped for or expected? Approved with code AIM-7/26/21-OP417
With inflation on the rise, constraints on the labor force and the supply chain are the focus of this week’s podcast episode. Astor CIO John Eckstein and Nick Porter delve deep into the numbers and discuss if these are trends or just a blip on the radar. AIM-7/15/21-OP403
Recording of Astor’s Q2 2021 Strategy Update call with CEO & Founder, Rob Stein.
The Astor Economic Index was essentially unchanged month over month, ending June at a level consistent with strong to very strong economic growth. Of course, a quiet month in the AEI® does not mean that there is no interesting economic data to dissect, and we delve into some highlights below. The story of the past…