Category: Commentary/Video

77 posts categorized as "Commentary/Video"

11May

Employment Trends meets Federal Reserve Decisions

Astor’s CEO Rob Stein and CIO John Eckstein explore the interplay between employment trends and Federal Reserve decisions. MAS-M-380952-2023-05-08

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4May

Staying Ahead of the Curve: Navigating Fed Policy, Robust Inflation, and the Economy

Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Portfolio Manager/Vice President – Research, Nick Porter provide insights on the current economic landscape and the challenges the Fed is facing in controlling inflation. MAS-M-378863-2023-05-02

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27Apr

Inflation & Duration: Navigating Rising Fixed Income Volatility

One can be forgiven for looking back on Fixed Income markets in the period between the Global Financial Crisis and the pandemic with something approaching fondness. The Great Recession and the period thereafter were dominated by concerns about the lower zero bound for rates and the need to stretch duration to get anything approaching reasonable…

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19Apr

April 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy

The data for the month of March showed a slight cooling of the U.S. economy but wasn’t fundamentally view changing for the domestic near-term trajectory. The Astor Economic Index® stayed in the same range that it began in 2023, at a level consistent with below-average growth. One of the big puzzles of the current macroeconomic…

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24Mar

March 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy

Harold Wilson, the former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, said (probably apocryphally) that “a week is a long time in politics”. In economics, a day can prove to be a lifetime, as recent events have shown. Banking sector stress over the past week has led to a dramatic repricing across the fixed-income world, and…

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21Mar

Banking Crisis 2.0

As the recent bank failures hit the news wires the headlines became sensational, with some commentators claiming that the system was imploding. Ironically, just weeks ago, the banking system was characterized as ‘bulletproof’. To be clear, this is not 2008. That was a true banking and financial crisis with a complete breakdown of the banking…

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15Mar

What does the Latest Employment Report implies to Fed?

Astor’s CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO John Eckstein analyze the latest employment report and discuss what it implies to the Fed. MAS-M-360082-2023-03-14

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10Mar

Get up-to-date on Economic Conditions in the U.S.

Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and Portfolio Manager/ VP – Research Nicholas Porter get you up-to-date on the economic conditions in the U.S. MAS-M-357438-2023-03-07

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14Feb

February 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy

The U.S. economy is not in want of compelling data points of late, with prints in all sorts of indicators well outside of historical norms. The challenge, of course, is that many of these series are in open contradiction. For its part, the Astor Economic Index® (AEI) indicates an economy that is cooling (or has…

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7Feb

Breakdown of the Latest Employment Report & What it means to the Fed?

Astor’s CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO, John Eckstein break down the latest employment report and what it means for the Fed. MAS-M-346515-2023-02-06

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24Jan

Get up-to-date on Inflation and the Fed

Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and Portfolio Manager/ VP – Research Nicholas Porter get you up to date on Inflation and the Fed. MAS-M-339921-2023-01-20

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13Jan

FAQ 2022 – 2023

A Q&A into what we saw and where we are going.  This frequently asked questions guide is an overview of 2022 and a look into 2023.  CLICK HERE OR ON THE IMAGE BELOW TO READ.    

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11Jan

Breakdown of the Latest Economic News

Astor’s CEO Rob Stein and CIO, John Eckstein discuss the breakdown of the latest economic news. MAS-M-334704-2023-01-09

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20Dec

Outlook for inflation and the Fed

Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Research Associate Nick Porter share their thoughts on inflation and the Fed. MAS-M-330565-2022-12-16

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7Dec

December 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy

The Astor Economic Index® declined further in the month of November to a level typically associated with a weak economic state. The economy is in an interesting position, with the labor market humming along, but some soft data point to substantial weakness in manufacturing. The latest non-farm payroll was interesting, and it’s worth going beyond…

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18Nov

Gauging Fed and Market Reaction to CPI

Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Research Associate Nick Porter share their thoughts on the Fed and Market Reaction to CPI. MAS-M-321021-2022-11-14

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18Nov

November 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy

The Astor Economic Index®, our nowcast of the U.S. economy, is essentially unchanged from the prior month at a level consistent with below-average economic output. Nonetheless, the intervening period has had several significant data prints, which we discuss below. In sum, recent trends suggest that the window to a soft(er) landing is now more open…

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8Nov

Fed and Payroll Outlook

Astor’s CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO John Eckstein share their thoughts on the Fed and Payroll Outlook. MAS-M-318084-2022-11-06

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19Oct

October 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy

September brought little in the way of relief for those looking for a Fed pivot, and the Astor Economic Index® remained constrained at a below-average reading. As in recent months, the U.S. labor market is somewhat at odds with the global economy and other domestic data prints, with job gains elevated despite softening purchasing manager…

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18Oct

The Latest Inflation News and Outlook

Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Associate, Nick Porter discuss the latest inflation news and outlook. MAS-M-310193-2022-10-17

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