Category: Commentary/Video
256 posts categorized as "Commentary/Video"
11Jun
Federal Reserve outlook given yesterday’s inflation numbers
Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Associate, Nick Porter, discuss the Fed’s outlook after yesterday’s inflation numbers.
8Jun
June 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy
The Astor Economic Index crossed the Rubicon (or perhaps just the Delaware) in May, ending the month just below the 0 line and at a level consistent with (barely) below average economic growth. Note that the AEI is suggesting that the pace of growth in the US has slowed, but is not yet at a…
1Jun
Is a recession likely?
Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Associate, Nick Porter break down the latest economic data to help them decide whether or not a recession is likely to occur.
19May
Market Commentary: Super-Hyper Inflation, So What’s the Plan?
Wednesday (5/18) was a day of turmoil in equity markets with the S&P 500 down about 4% as investors sold risk assets for the safety of government bonds. I personally wouldn’t jump into bonds for the long term at this point, but yesterday investors needed to do something and bonds were the easiest choice. Markets…
15May
Stock Market Tantrums
Astor’s CEO, Rob Stein, and CIO, John Eckstein, discuss changes in labor market, updates on the Fed, and recent stock market tantrums.
12May
Market Commentary: It’s all about the Fed… Still
The markets have had a challenging time the past few weeks, quickly retracing back to the levels of a year ago. Perspective is always important, but the Fed’s perspective is essential! As I said at the beginning of the year, it’s all about the Fed and how they navigate interest rates. The Fed got it wrong when…
29Apr
Breaking down the latest GDP report and the outlook for the Fed in this week’s Astor Economic Week in Review
CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Partner, Nick Porter, dive deep into the latest GDP report and outlook for the Fed.
18Apr
The Strength of the Economy at the start of Q2
CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Associate, Nick Porter, discuss Inflation, CPI, PPI Final Demand, and the Fed. AIM-4/18/22-OP560
7Apr
April 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy
The Astor Economic Index continued its slide in March, consistent with our reading of a cooling but still strong economy. The domestic macroeconomic outlook is at an interesting crossroads, with persistent inflation, negative real wages, and high input costs on one hand, and very strong labor market dynamics, corporate earnings, and solid output growth on…
5Apr
Employment Report Discussion
Discussion Topics: Overall Strength of Economy Jobs Report Fed Moves AIM-4/4/22-OP554
4Apr
Commodity Market Update – Q1 2022
Many of the most visible commodities – energies and grains – appreciated a great deal during the first quarter as shown in the charts below for eight of the more well known commodity contracts. There are macro factors both boosting and restraining commodity prices: On the bullish for commodities side: Shift in the composition…
21Mar
Latest Updates on the Fed and the U.S. Economy
Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and research partner, Nick Porter, discuss the latest Fed and U.S. Economy updates. AIM-3/21/22-OP553
11Mar
March 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy
With the ebbing of the global pandemic, one may have hoped February would mark the beginning of business as usual and a return to focusing on supply chains and other macroeconomic fundamentals. Unfortunately, the war in Ukraine has added another exogenous shock to the system. We’ll delve into the U.S. economic situation below, and touch…
8Mar
Insights into the latest unemployment report and the effect of the war in Ukraine on US inflation.
Astor’s CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Partner, Nick Porter, discuss the latest unemployment report and the effect of the war in Ukraine on US inflation. AIM-3/7/22-OP549
28Feb
Will the war in Ukraine derail the US economy? The Astor research team debate.
John Eckstein, CIO at AIM, and his research partner, Nick Porter, dive deep into how and if the Ukraine and Russian war will impact the US economy. AIM-2/28/22-OP545
11Feb
The latest on inflation from the Astor Research Team
CIO, John Eckstein, and Research Partner, Nick Porter, discuss changes in the U.S economy and the latest updates on inflation. AIM-2/11/22-OP541
11Feb
February 2022 Update on the U.S. Economy
January proved an exciting month for macroeconomic data, with some clarity gained on the near-term trajectory of the U.S. economy and the state of inflation. We’ll begin with the Astor Economic Index, which has begun to move down rather precipitously of late. Although the AEI’s movement over the past month might make for a concerning…
8Feb
Was the latest payroll report as strong as it seems?
John Eckstein and Bryan Novak break down the latest payroll report.
21Jan
Protected: Astor 2021 Review Call with Rob Stein
There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.
21Jan
Inflation and The Fed
Inflation and the Fed is the topic of this week’s podcast. Plus: why January’s data may be the worst in months. With Chief Investment Officer, John Eckstein, and Research Associate, Nick Porter. AIM-1/21/22-OP523