Date: February 2019

2 posts in February 2019


The Deep Breath Before the Plunge: FOMC Forward Guidance on the Balance Sheet

The January 2019 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting gave market participants a welcome respite from what many viewed as a decoupling of rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the market.  As a result, we expect the Fed’s balance sheet normalization to end sooner than previously expected and at a level greater than previously…

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February update on the U.S. economy

Our proprietary Astor Economic Index® is still showing good growth in the US economy.  The index rebounded somewhat from last month as jobs growth continued strong and the purchasing managers surveys became more optimistic.  The shutdown did not affect the market moving measure of private payrolls with the rate of job creation increasing solidly compared…

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