Category: Markets
61 posts categorized as "Markets"
9Apr
How The Latest Economic Data Shifts the Fed Outlook
Astor CIO, John Eckstein and CEO, Bryan Novak discuss how the latest economic data shifts the Fed outlook – LISTEN NOW! Ep 137 MAS-M-524452-2024-04-09
3Apr
Why Astor Active Income?
Bryan Novak, Astor IM CEO, gives an overview of the Astor Active Income Strategy and why it is a great fit for your clients’ in todays market! In the current landscape of fixed income investments, the act of purchasing bonds feels more akin to making a strategic trade rather than simply seeking steady income, especially…
23Mar
March 2024 Update on the U.S. Economy
The Astor Economic Index® (AEI) ended the month of February at around average growth once again, with a tight labor market slightly ameliorated by weakening signs of consumer demand. We talk about the latest job reports, inflation, and the upcoming Fed meeting below. Non-farm payrolls rose 275,000 in February, above Bloomberg consensus of 200k,…
16Feb
February 2024 Update on the U.S. Economy
The U.S. economy has defied predictions of its imminent demise for some time, and data from the month of January reinforced that trend with robust labor figures and hotter inflation numbers. Markets have been forced to reprice their expectations for a quick March cut by the Fed, with Chair Powell strongly pushing back against the…
16Feb
Economy in Focus: Labor Market, Payroll Numbers, and Powell Insights
Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Nick Tell, CEO of Armory Capital discuss the labor market, payroll numbers, and Powell insights – LISTEN NOW! Podcast # 136 MAS-M-496303-2024-02-07
8Feb
Astor Economics In Focus: First Half 2024 Outlook
MARKETS: 2023 2023 was one of the most interesting years to be an investor. Volatility raked wide swaths of the bond market throughout the year, as regional banks came under pressure, inflation expectations swung up and down, and Fed policy was priced and repriced. The yield on U.S. 10-yr treasuries began the year at 3.87%,…
8Jan
Job Market Insights: Analyzing the Latest Numers and Their Impact on the Federal Reserve
Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Nick Tell, CEO of Armory Capital discuss the the latest economic numbers and their impact on the federal reserve. LISTEN NOW! MAS-M-476982-2024-01-08
5Jan
Comprehensive Review of 2023’s Economic Moves and a Look Ahead into 2024
Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Portfolio Manager/Vice President – Research, Nick Porter discuss 2023 economic moves and a look ahead into 2024. LISTEN NOW! MAS-M-472157-2023-12-20
20Dec
December 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy
Our last reading of the Astor Economic Index® (AEI) in 2023 places U.S. economic growth in about average territory, up modestly from the beginning of the year as expectations for future growth improved. The consensus narrative agrees with this reading, seeing an economy that has finally shook off the pandemic induced shackles and returned to…
14Dec
Let’s Look at Labor, Employment, and Payroll Trends
Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Nick Tell, CEO of Armory Capital discuss the Labor Market and Payroll Trends. LISTEN NOW! MAS-M-467041-2023-12-08
10Nov
November 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy
The Astor Economic Index® (AEI) continued its upward trend in October, ending at a level just around average economic growth. It has been an interesting journey for the AEI this year so far, with somewhat weak growth (driven mostly by soft PMIs) balanced out by a very hot labor market. Due in part to soft…
17Oct
October 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy
Over the past few months, forecasts of an imminent recession have been pushed further and further away. Instead, consensus views vacillate between two scenarios: an economy “stuck” at higher growth and higher interest rates for the time being, and the much-heralded soft landing, with a slowly cooling labor market and inflation coming down over time….
9Oct
Get the Breakdown of the Latest Payroll Number with CEO Rob Stein and CIO John Eckstein
CIO John Eckstein and CEO Rob Stein discuss the current state of the economy, which they coin as ‘Goldilocks.’ In this episode 130, they delve into key economic indicators such as the employment situation report, inflation, an economy review, and payroll numbers. Tune in now! MAS-M-434759-2023-10-09
28Sep
Exploring The Best Opportunities in the Fixed-Income Market Right Now!
Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Nick Tell, CEO of Armory Capital discuss the Fed’s outlook for the rest of the year and the fixed-income market as of today. LISTEN NOW! MAS-M-428351-2023-09-22
19Sep
What is the Fed Outlook with the Recent Economic Data?
Astor’s CIO John Eckstein and Portfolio Manager/Vice President – Research, Nick Porter provide insights on recent economic data and the Fed’s outlook. LISTEN NOW! MAS-M-424640-2023-09-12
15Sep
September 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy
The U.S. economy remained around potential in August, with softer labor market prints pointing to lower momentum in hiring against the backdrop of a secularly tight labor market. The Astor Economic Index® has ticked up slightly, but remains range bound in the average to below average economic growth. As we’ve said in the past,…
1Sep
INSIGHTS: Economic Crystall Balls – Comparing Four Recession Forecasting Tools
If I tell a stranger, you are an economist the first thing you notice is the glassy look in their eyes. The second thing that happens is that they ask you what will happen to the stock market. Economists don’t know! We can echo Pierpont Morgan and say, “I expect it to fluctuate”, but beyond…
20Aug
INSIGHTS: Interest Rates & Fed Minutes: August 2023
Fed minutes from last month’s meeting were released on Wednesday (8/16). After a summer of disinflation, many were hoping for a policy narrative congruent with the downward price movement we’ve seen in 2023: something akin to a final act. While there were a few dovish dissenters that were reluctant to raise the target rate, the…
11Aug
August 2023 Update on the U.S. Economy
The U.S. economic picture has been essentially unchanged for the past few months, with a general trend towards disinflation, growth returning towards potential, and a secularly tight but slowing labor market. The Astor Economic Index® agrees with this narrative, ending the month of July at a level consistent with below potential output, driven mostly by…
8Aug
Payroll Pulse – Navigating the Economy
Astor Investment Management’s CEO, Rob Stein and CIO, John Eckstein discuss the payroll pulse and navigating the economy. Listen now! Episode 126 MAS-M-413594-2023-08-08